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FiveThirtyEight

Website Introduction

FiveThirtyEight uses statistical models to analyze politics, sports, and other areas where data can inform predictions. It became well-known for its election forecasting, which combines polling, demographics, and historical trends into probabilistic models. The site is careful to explain uncertainty rather than just giving a single prediction. It also covers sports, particularly basketball and baseball, with similar analytical rigor.

The site publishes articles, interactive charts, and podcasts. Its approach is transparent — you can often see the methodology behind a model and the assumptions it makes. It's not always right, and the 2016 election forecasting debates are a reminder that models have limits, but it's one of the more thoughtful places to read data-driven journalism. It's free to access and part of ABC News.

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